Statistics Intern ARCH, Ecuador's Hydrocarbon Regulatory Agency
Authored the Volume Programming Methodology for petroleum products and LPG, a 73-page statistical workflow proposed to replace the previous 2017 procedure. Designed a traceable and reproducible nine-stage methodology based on SARIMA/SARIMAX models, intervention analysis, Box-Cox transformation, ADF and KPSS testing, AICc selection, residual diagnostics, interval forecasting, and anomaly detection.
Built the operational Python solution using pandas and statsmodels, including an analyst notebook, 10 reusable modules, and automated Word report generation. Produced theoretical documentation, installation and operation manuals, interpretation guidance, and an Excel template with data-quality controls.